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	<title>Investoralist &#187; Paranoia</title>
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		<title>From type I and type II errors to conspiracy theories</title>
		<link>http://www.investoralist.com/evolution-favours-type-i-errors/</link>
		<comments>http://www.investoralist.com/evolution-favours-type-i-errors/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 18 Jun 2009 18:58:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dana</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Market and Ideas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Conspiracy theory]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Evolution]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Natural selection]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Paranoia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Type I and type II errors]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.investoralist.com/?p=1323</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Scientific America explores why so many of us readily subscribe to conspiracy theories and draw conclusions from questionable patterns.  It turns out we prefer type I over type II errors. When our ancestors still hunted in the woods, it’s better to assume that rattle came from a poisonous snake and run, than to take your [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p></p><p align="justify">Scientific America explores <a href="http://www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=skeptic-agenticity" target="_blank">why so many of us readily subscribe to conspiracy theories</a> and draw conclusions from questionable patterns.  It turns out we prefer type I over type II errors.</p>
<p align="justify">When our ancestors still hunted in the woods, it’s better to assume that rattle came from a poisonous snake and run, than to take your chances and get bitten. As a result, natural selection favoured those that assumed all patterns were real.</p>
<p align="justify">In other words, evolution hearted paranoia.</p>
<p align="justify">[via <a href="http://freakonomics.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/06/18/the-yellow-face-it-burns-us/" target="_blank">Freakonomics</a>]</p>
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